Election Prediction for GOV 1347

As we approach the pivotal 2024 US presidential elections, voters are keenly aware that their choices will shape the future of our country, influencing everything from policy decisions to local governance. In this blog, I will attempt to forecast the outcome of the 2024 US presidential election. As a part of Gov 1347: Election Analytics, I will use data from a variety of sources to develop a compelling model.

Let’s get started!

• 2024/12/09 Post Election Campaign Narrative
• 2024/11/10 Post Election Reflection
• 2024/10/30 Final Election Prediction
• 2024/10/27 Week 8: Sudden Shocks and Shoring Up My Model
• 2024/10/18 Week 7: Fine Tuning The Model
• 2024/10/13 Week 6: Advertising and Campaign Effects
• 2024/10/05 Week 5: Demographics, Turnout, and the First Stage of Our Final Prediction
• 2024/09/28 Week 4: Incumbency, Expert Prediction, and Super Learning in Models
• 2024/09/21 Week 3: Polling-Based Models and Regularized Regressions
• 2024/09/13 Week 2: Economic Fundamentals and Regression-Based Prediction
• 2024/09/05 Week 1: Introduction and Past National Election Data